The Premier League fouls betting markets offer punters a variety of options, including wagering on the total number of fouls in a match, specific player fouls, players to be fouled, or which team will commit the most fouls.
You can explore bets such as over/under fouls, team-specific fouls, or fouls involving individual players.
Below, we’ve provided our Premier League fouls tips and betting predictions for this weekend’s action.
Newcastle vs Leicester
Oliver Skipp is expected to step into the Leicester midfield, with Ndidi and Winks sidelined due to injury and Soumaré suspended. This puts Skipp directly up against Bruno Guimaraes, one of the most fouled players in the Premier League, who has been fouled 56 times in 15 matches—an average of 3.7 fouls per game.
Skipp will also have to contend with Joelinton, who has been fouled 18 times in 15 games, and Sandro Tonali, who has drawn 17 fouls in just 651 Premier League minutes, averaging a foul every 38 minutes.
So far this season, Skipp has started 5 matches and committed 6 fouls, making at least one foul in 4 of those 5 games. In one of his starts, he played only 45 minutes, so when playing at least 60 minutes, he has averaged 6 fouls across 4 games, with 50% of those matches seeing him commit 2 or more fouls. Given the quality and physicality of Newcastle’s midfield, Skipp looks likely to pick up at least one or two fouls in this matchup.
- Best Bet: Oliver Skipp to commit 2+ fouls at 2.25 with Skybet
Arsenal vs Everton
Ndiaye has been fouled 21 times in his 12 starts this season, drawing at least one foul in every match. Impressively, he’s been fouled twice or more in 8 of those games, including in each of his last three appearances.
Based on his record, true odds for this bet would be closer to 1.60, but we’re able to get even money—an excellent value.
Arsenal rank fourth in the Premier League for most fouls committed, adding further appeal to this market. With Thomas Partey likely to start at right-back for Arsenal and Ndiaye expected to operate on the left, the matchup looks promising. Partey, when playing at right-back recently, has committed 3, 3, and 2 fouls in his last few outings, which boosts Ndiaye’s chances of being fouled multiple times.
- Best Bet: Iliman Ndiaye to win 2+ fouls at 2.0 with Skybet
Southampton vs Tottenham
Dejan Kulusevski has been fouled 19 times this season, drawing at least one foul in 13 of his 15 appearances—a remarkable 87% success rate.
Southampton, on average, commit 11.9 fouls per game, while Spurs are the most fouled away side in the league, drawing an average of 15.29 fouls per match. With the Saints desperate for points, they’ll likely adopt an aggressive approach to disrupt Spurs’ rhythm, making Kulusevski a prime target.
The odds of 1.30 for Kulusevski to suffer at least one foul imply a 77% probability, yet his track record suggests a higher likelihood. Similarly, odds of 2.5 for him to be fouled twice or more indicate a 40% probability, but this has occurred in 50% of his last 10 matches. While the sample size is relatively small, it still represents roughly 25% of a Premier League season, highlighting good value in backing Kulusevski to draw multiple fouls in this matchup.
- Best Bet: Dejan Kulusevski to win 2+ fouls at 2.5 with Skybet
Cards Market
Wolves vs Ipswich Town
This will likely be a tense and scrappy battle, with both teams fighting hard for much-needed points. Expect plenty of physicality, with the possibility of cards playing a decisive role. Mistakes, ill-discipline, or moments of frustration could lead to cards, making this a fiery and closely contested encounter.
Wolves’ Discipline
- Wolves match average 5.13 cards per match this season, with a similar home average of 4.86 cards per match.
- They’ve received 2+ cards in 12 of their 15 matches this season.
- Recent high-stakes fixtures for Wolves have been particularly card-heavy, including:
- 8 cards vs. Southampton.
- 6 cards vs. Crystal Palace
Ipswich’s Discipline
- Ipswich matches average 4.47 cards per match, with an away average of 4.86 cards per game.
- They have picked up 3+ cards in 6 of their last away 7 matches, barring the 4-1 loss at West Ham.
- Despite tough results, Ipswich consistently remain competitive and aggressive, especially in away games.
With Simon Hooper officiating, this match is primed for a high card count, given his reputation and statistics this season. Hooper is known for penalizing aggressive and undisciplined play, and in a high-pressure game like this, his influence could be significant.
Simon Hooper’s Key Stats:
- Average cards per match: 5.25 (across 8 Premier League matches).
- Both teams receiving at least 1 card: 7 of his 8 matches.
- Both teams receiving at least 2 cards each: 6 of his 8 matches
- Best Bet: Over 5.5 cards at 2.3 with Paddy and Betfair
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