Tottenham vs Wolves
Wolves will likely focus on keeping Spurs in check, especially against their pacey counterattacks, by employing a cynical approach when necessary. Spurs are one of the most fouled teams at home, averaging 12.89 fouls per game, while Wolves lead the league in fouls committed on the road with an average of 13.67 per match.
Since the departure of Gary O’Neil, Wolves have committed 16 and 12 fouls in their last two games. At home, Spurs have faced three teams from the bottom eight—Ipswich (19 fouls), Everton (15), and West Ham (15)—showing that opponents often resort to physical tactics to contain them.
Spurs’ attacking pace, led by Kulusevski, Johnson, Son, and Werner, makes them difficult to handle. On the other side, Wolves’ Gomes is the Premier League’s most frequent fouler, while Spurs’ Maddison is the second-most fouled player in the league, highlighting the physical battle likely to take place.
- Best Bet: Wolves to commit 15+ fouls at 2.38 with Skybet
Ipswich vs Chelsea
Morsy to commit 2+ fouls looks like solid value against a Chelsea side boasting quality midfielders like Palmer, Enzo, and Caicedo. Only eight players in the Premier League have committed more fouls than Morsy this season, and he has made at least one foul in each of his last seven matches.
Now free from the pressure of a potential suspension after serving a one-match ban for accumulating four yellow cards, Morsy’s foul counts (0, 1, 2, 3, 2, 6 leading up to his forth yellow card) suggest he’s likely to be active in challenges again now the immediate threat of suspension has passed. He’s recorded 2+ fouls in 9 of his 16 matches this season.
Chelsea rank among the most fouled teams in the league, with only four sides being fouled more. In particular, Cole Palmer is the Premier League’s third most-fouled player, adding further potential for Morsy to pick up fouls as he returns to his central midfield role.
- Best Bet: Morsy to commit 2+ fouls 1.73 with Skybet
Ipswich vs Chelsea
Davis to commit 2+ fouls is a strong possibility as he will likely face Madueke or Neto, with Cole Palmer occasionally drifting wide. Davis’s tendency to push forward often leaves him scrambling to recover defensively, increasing his chances of committing fouls.
He has committed 18 fouls in 18 games this season, making 2+ fouls against teams like Liverpool, Southampton, Nottingham Forest, Spurs, Manchester United, and Arsenal—all of which feature pacey and tricky wingers. He has recorded at least 1 foul in 13 of his 18 appearances.
Chelsea rank as the 5th most fouled team in the league, while Ipswich average among the highest in fouls per 90 minutes, with only three teams committing more. This matchup presents plenty of opportunities for Davis to pick up fouls.
- Best Bet: Leif Davis to commit 2+ fouls at 3.0 with Skybet / Paddy
Man Utd vs Newcastle
Mazraoui will face a tough matchup against Anthony Gordon, one of the Premier League’s most fouled players this season. Only Spurs have been fouled more often than Newcastle on a per-90-minute basis. Gordon has been fouled 40 times, averaging 2.5 fouls per start, making him the 4th most fouled player in the league.
Manchester United are under immense pressure due to poor recent results and now find themselves nervously looking over their shoulder at the relegation zone. Gordon has been fouled at least twice in 11 of his 16 starts and at least once in every game he has started.
Mazraoui has been active defensively, recording the 2nd most tackles in the Premier League this season. Offensively, he has committed 22 fouls in 16 starts, making at least one foul in 13 of those games (excluding a match where he only played 45 minutes). This setup suggests plenty of defensive work and potential fouls for Mazraoui against a tricky opponent like Gordon.
- Best Bet: Mazraoui to commit 2+ fouls 2.63 with Paddy
Man Utd vs Newcastle
Joelinton to commit 2+ fouls is my top pick for this round of fixtures. While most other bookmakers have him priced between 1.5 and 1.55, Unibet offers great value at 1.90.
He ranks as the 2nd most frequent fouler in the Premier League, having committed at least one foul in 16 of his 17 games this season. He’s recorded 2+ fouls in 13 of those matches and 3+ in 7.
Fresh off serving a one-match suspension for accumulating five yellow cards, Joelinton will be up against Ugarte, Mainoo, Amad, and Garnacho—players who can draw plenty of fouls due to their pace and skill. This matchup presents an excellent opportunity for him to hit this mark again.
- Best Bet: Joelinton to commit 2+ fouls at 1.90 with Unibet
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