Newcastle vs Bournemouth
Newcastle United enter this match in scintillating form, having won their last nine games in all competitions. Their performances at St James’ Park have been equally impressive, with six wins, two draws, and only two losses this season. Averaging 1.80 goals per home game, Newcastle have established themselves as a consistent attacking force. Defensively, they have also been solid, keeping clean sheets in half of their home matches. Furthermore, goals have been a regular feature in their games, with 50% of their home fixtures seeing three or more goals.
Bournemouth, on the other hand, have been productive in attack, scoring an average of 1.52 goals per game this season. They have found the net in 17 of their 21 matches, highlighting their offensive reliability. Both teams have scored in 13 of Bournemouth’s games, including 8 of their 11 away fixtures. They’ve only failed to score against Liverpool and Leicester, with the latter match seeing them generate 2.16 xG, 19 shots, and 15 efforts inside the box. Bournemouth have proven their ability to score on the road, with goals against teams like Chelsea, Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest, and Fulham. Impressively, they rank 2nd for away xPTS and average 1.30 xG per away game. On the road, they’ve recorded the 3rd most shots on target and the 5th highest number of shots inside the box.
With Newcastle’s excellent form and attacking prowess at home, coupled with Bournemouth’s ability to score consistently on the road, this game offers significant potential for goals at both ends. A bet on both teams to score and over 2.5 goals could present strong value.
- Best Bet: Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals at 1.87 with BoyleSports
Leicester vs Fulham
Leicester City’s struggles continue, with the Foxes now losing their last six Premier League matches, managing to score just twice during that period. They have also lost 10 of their last 13 games and have been defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.49 xGA over their last eight matches. Their attacking output has been equally underwhelming, ranking 17th for shots in the box ratio over the same period.
Fulham, meanwhile, have shown mixed form on the road with a record of three wins, three draws, and three losses. They have found the net in nine of their ten away matches this season, recently securing a win over Chelsea and a 2-2 draw at Liverpool. Fulham rank 4th on xPTS both over the last eight games and across the season, highlighting their consistency. They have also claimed away victories at Crystal Palace, Nottingham Forest, and Chelsea, so defeating Leicester is within their capabilities.
In midweek action, Fulham suffered a defeat to West Ham, but the result was harsh based on performance. Despite losing 3-2, Fulham dominated the xG battle 1.90 to 0.95, conceding three goals from just three shots on target.
- Best Bet: Fulham to win at 1.83 with Unibet
Brentford vs Liverpool
Striker Yoane Wissa stands out as a strong candidate to register at least one shot on target in this matchup. This season, Wissa has taken 42 shots, with 20 hitting the target. His performances at home have been particularly impressive, recording 27 attempts at the Gtech Community Stadium. Wissa has hit two or more shots in eight of his nine home games and managed at least one shot on target in seven of those, including standout performances such as five shots against Manchester City and two against Arsenal.
Backing Wissa to have at least one shot on target at odds of 1.81 with Unibet is a strong option.
On the other side, Brentford’s tendency to concede shots makes their matches ideal for betting on shot-related markets. Only four Premier League teams allow more shots at home than Brentford, while Liverpool average the most shots and shots on target in away matches.
Trent Alexander-Arnold has been actively involved in Liverpool’s attacks, registering eight shots in his last five league games, with two on target and one goal. He has recorded at least two shots in two of those matches, making him another viable option for shot-related bets in this fixture.
- Best Bet: Yoane Wissa over 0.5 shots on target at 1.81 with Unibet
- Best Bet: Trent Alexander Arnold over 1.5 shots at 2.50 with Bet365
- Combining the double is 4.33 with Bet365
Arsenal vs Aston Villa
Arsenal have been consistent this season with a record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, remaining unbeaten at home with 7 wins and 3 draws. Defensively, they’ve been solid at the Emirates, conceding just one goal in their last five home matches. However, their creativity has suffered without Bukayo Saka in the lineup. Against teams in 11th place and higher, Arsenal’s record stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, conceding in 9 of those 11 games. Still, they rank 1st for expected points (xPTS) over the last four matches, highlighting their strong recent performances.
Aston Villa, on the other hand, have struggled away from home with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses. They’ve managed just one clean sheet in 10 road games, with their victories coming against West Ham, Leicester, Fulham, and Everton. However, they’ve lost to all teams currently sitting 9th or higher in the league during their away matches. Villa rank 15th for xPTS over the last eight games and have lost 5 of their last 6 away fixtures. While they’ve scored in 7 of their 10 away games, the absence of key players like John McGinn and Ross Barkley could hinder their chances of turning things around.
However, both teams to score looks over priced at 2.05 with a couple of bookies. Spurs were able to create chances against Arsenal and with a tough fixture run playing 12 fixture over the last 7 weeks, a game every 4 days, fatigue may play a part here.
- Best Bet: Both teams to score at 2.05 with Vbet
Comments (0)