We continue to post our Premier League best bets and Premier League fouls columns on this website. In best bets for December we returned just over 10% ROI, although we only posted seven bets. You can find our fouls column here.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
When it comes to betting opportunities, Spurs versus Newcastle presents a compelling case for goals, cards, and value.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has been a consistent trend under Ange Postecoglou. It’s landed in 24 of 29 Spurs home games, with his side scoring in 27 of those. This season, Spurs have found the net in 8 of their 10 home matches, including their last 8 in a row. However, defensively, they have managed just one clean sheet at home this season.
On the other hand, Newcastle have scored in 9 of their last 10 away games, with three cleans sheets coming against low scoring Manchester United, Ipswich, and Everton. With BTTS priced at just 1.36, the market reflects its high likelihood.
Cards also look like a strong angle. Spurs have seen both teams receive a card in 8 of 10 home matches, with their games averaging 4.0 cards. Similarly, Newcastle have seen both teams carded in 7 of their 10 away matches, with an average of 4.3 cards. Referee Andy Madley brings further value to this market, averaging 4.86 cards per game, with both teams carded in 5 of his 7 officiated matches this season.
Form-wise, Spurs are struggling at home. They are winless in their last 5 games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and have just 1 win in their last 7 matches overall – a 5-0 rout of rock-bottom Southampton. To add to their woes, 4 of the last 5 visiting teams to Spurs have scored 2 or more goals.
In contrast, Newcastle are flying. They have won their last 5 matches across all competitions and look dangerous in attack, especially against Spurs’ leaky defence.
- Best Bet: Both teams to score, both teams to receive a card, and Newcastle double chance at 1.95 with Bet365
Wolves vs Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest’s strength at set pieces makes their centre-backs a key focus in this matchup, and Nicolás Milenkovic stands out as a prime candidate. Forming a solid defensive partnership with Murillo, Milenkovic has been a consistent threat in the opposition box.
Milenkovic has registered a shot in 10 of his last 11 matches, totalling 14 shots in that span. He has managed at least two shots in three of his last six Premier League games. With Wolves struggling to defend set pieces, Milenkovic is well-placed to add to his tally in this game.
Wolves’ home matches have seen both teams receive a card in all 9 games this season, with an average of 4.89 cards per game. Forest’s away matches have seen both teams carded in 9 of 10 games, averaging a massive 6.80 cards per game. Referee Peter Bankes has officiated 11 matches this season, with both teams receiving a card in 9 of them. His games average 4.18 cards, adding further confidence to the card market.
Wolves have beaten struggling sides like Leicester and Manchester United, but in their last 18 home games, they have only won 5 times – against United, Southampton, Luton, Sheffield United, and Fulham. Forest, meanwhile, have been strong on the road, losing only to Manchester City and Arsenal. They have lost just 4 matches all season, and only Liverpool have collected more points away from home in the league.
- Best Bet: Milenkovic over 0.5 shots, both teams to receive a card, and Forest double chance (win or draw) at 2.40 with Bet365.
Brighton vs Arsenal
This matchup between Brighton and Arsenal is primed for goals and attacking action, making it an excellent opportunity for bettors to find value in the markets.
Arsenal have conceded in 8 of their 10 away matches this season, including each of their last 8 away games. They have also scored in 8 of these matches, with BTTS landing in 6. The Gunners remain undefeated in their last 12 games in all competitions, but defensive vulnerabilities, particularly with Thomas Partey likely filling in at right-back due to the absence of Jurrien Timber, remain a concern.
Brighton have been equally reliable for BTTS at home, scoring in 7 of their 9 home matches while also conceding in 7. This has resulted in BTTS hitting in 7 of their home fixtures. Against the top 10 teams, Brighton have played 7 matches (home and away), scoring in all of them and seeing BTTS land in 6.
With BTTS priced at 1.67, it’s a solid foundation for this game’s betting angles.
Brighton have hit 3+ shots in the first half in all 9 of their home games this season, averaging 7.33 shots. They have managed this in 18 of their 19 matches overall. Arsenal, on the other hand, have registered 3+ first-half shots in all 19 games this season, averaging 5.80 shots on the road.
Both sides’ attacking intensity, combined with their ability to create early chances, makes this an appealing addition to any bet builder.
- Best Bet: Both teams to score and both teams to have over 2.5 shots in the first half at 1.83 with Bet365
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