Wolves vs Tottenham
Wolves have finally started to deliver on the potential that’s long been evident in their squad. The issue wasn’t talent—it was direction. Since changing managers, they’ve looked like a completely different side, winning five of their last eight and all but securing Premier League safety. Their 2-1 win over Ipswich last weekend extended the gap to 12 points between themselves and the drop zone with seven games to play.
The contrast with Spurs is telling. When the two sides met in December, it finished 2-2. Since then, Wolves have picked up 23 points—a strong return that dwarfs Spurs’ 14 over the same period. And it’s worth noting that six of Tottenham’s points came from wins over struggling Ipswich and Southampton.
Adding to the edge for Wolves, Spurs are in the middle of a crucial Europa League tie against Frankfurt, with the second leg coming just days before this match. That could mean rotation or a lack of intensity, especially with their league form dipping and their focus shifting toward European success.
Wolves, playing at home with momentum and confidence, look primed to take advantage. The -0.25 Asian Handicap stands out as the best betting angle—it provides cover if the game ends level (half stake loss), while still offering full profit on a Wolves win. Given current form, motivation, and the schedule spot, it’s a smart way to get behind the hosts.
- Best Bet: Wolves -0.25AH at 1.95 with Bet365
Bournemouth v Fulham
Bournemouth’s dip in form has coincided with a leaky defence. They’ve conceded an average of 12 shots per home game in the Premier League, rising to 14 per game over their last five at the Vitality. Even Ipswich managed 10 in the FA Cup while sitting deep with a lead.
Fulham are a reliable attacking unit away from home, averaging 12.93 shots per game on the road this season. Excluding tough trips to Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Forest, and Chelsea, that rises to 13.4, with 12+ shots in 7 of those 10 remaining games. With both teams expected to play positively, Fulham over 11.5 shots looks well supported by the numbers—over 12.5 at 2.4 is also worth considering.
Bournemouth are now winless in eight across all competitions. Despite only one win in their last eight league games, their underlying data remains strong: 6th for xPTS, 3rd for non-penalty xG ratio, and top for xG from open play over that stretch. However, only four teams have conceded more big chances, showing their defensive fragility.
Their home form is mixed (W6-D3-L6), with games averaging 2.20 goals. Yet five of their last six at home have seen over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in all five.
Fulham arrive in form after beating Liverpool 3-2. They’ve scored in all but one away game and kept just three clean sheets. With both sides strong going forward but shaky at the back, goals and Fulham shots both look like smart angles.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 with 10Bet
- Best Bet: Fulham over 11.5 shots at 1.98 with Unibet
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